Kalshi · 棒球
firm.toys，Kalshi 上的 MLB 高手：45 單、勝率 75.6%、獲利 $380。真實持倉戰績，每日更新。
下方列出的最近 60 條預測（ 至 ）中已結算 60 條：命中 46、未中 14，這批紀錄的命中率為 76.7%。
| 所屬聯賽 | 紀錄數 | 已結算 | 命中 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 39 | 39 | 31 | 79.5% |
| NCAAF | 9 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% |
| WNBA | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Japan NPB | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Bundesliga | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
firm.toys 主要預測MLB：最近 60 筆紀錄中有 39 筆。平台：Kalshi。
依我們蒐集到的已結算訂單：45 單、勝率 75.6%、獲利 $380、報酬率 14.9%。在MLB，最近 39 筆已結算預測中命中 31 筆。
勝率 = 命中的已結算預測 ÷ 已結算預測，未結算不計。盈虧與報酬率依每筆公開持倉的成本與結算結果計算。過去戰績不代表未來結果。
資料來源：Kalshi 公開持倉。資料截至 2026-10-10 03:33 UTC+8。計算方式：計算方式說明
LWWLW
| 日期 | 賽事 | 預測 | 結果 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | 多特蒙德足球俱樂部 (Dortmund) 2:2 Bremen Bundesliga | Dortmund wins | 未中 |
| 2026-10-09 | Alabama State Hornets 27:28 Florida A&M Rattlers NCAAF | Under 61.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-10-09 | Alabama State Hornets 27:28 Florida A&M Rattlers NCAAF | ALST +2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-10-09 | Alabama State Hornets 27:28 Florida A&M Rattlers NCAAF | Under 49.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-10-09 | Chicago White Sox 5:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Under 13.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-10-07 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | San Diego wins | 命中 |
| 2026-10-07 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | F5 MIL +1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | California wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:4 San Diego MLB | Under 6.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Miami MLB | Miami wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle 6:5 Houston MLB | Houston wins | 未中 |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | SD -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:4 Minnesota MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:0 San Diego MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:3 Minnesota MLB | Under 5.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-23 | New York Yankees 1:6 Tampa Bay MLB | Under 7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-18 | Los Angeles Angels 5:4 Minnesota MLB | Los Angeles A wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-17 | 匹茲堡河犬 (Pittsburgh) 7:4 Milwaukee MLB | Pittsburgh wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 12.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | UCLA wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | CAL +7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-06 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | LSU +54.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-05 | San Diego Padres 3:2 New York Yankees MLB | NYY -1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-05 | Eastern Michigan Eagles 21:27 San Jose St. NCAAF | EMU +7.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-03 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 21:37 Massachusetts Minutemen NCAAF | RUTG +17.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-03 | Cleveland Guardians 3:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 9.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-03 | Houston Astros 6:2 Chicago WS MLB | Under 8.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-09-03 | Cleveland Guardians 3:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-03 | Pittsburgh Pirates 5:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 6.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | 命中 |
| 2026-09-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | STL +1.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-09-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8:13 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 18.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | 曼徹斯特城足球俱樂部 (Manchester City FC) 2:1 伯恩茅斯足球俱樂部 (AFC Bournemouth) Premier League | both teams score | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | Arizona Cardinals 13:34 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-23 | San Diego Padres 7:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 12.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-21 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Cubs 4:3 Chicago WS MLB | CWS +1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-18 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 78:70 達拉斯羽翼 (Dallas Wings) WNBA | GS +20.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-17 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-16 | 亞特蘭大美夢 (Atlanta Dream) 91:95 印第安納狂熱 (Indiana Fever) WNBA | IND -1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-16 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:4 New York Yankees MLB | Under 4.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:7 Boston Red Sox MLB | BOS -2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | New York Yankees 0:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | SEA +2.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Fukuoka Hawks 3:4 Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka Hawks winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-13 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 8:2 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-12 | 拉斯維加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) 86:76 華盛頓神秘 (Washington Mystics) WNBA | Washington vs Las Vegas women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | 命中 |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | HOU +1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 1:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Under 7.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 2:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 5.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 6.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Arizona 獲勝 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-07 | 印第安納狂熱 (Indiana Fever) 84:86 拉斯維加斯王牌 (Las Vegas Aces) WNBA | IND +3.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | TOR +1.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:9 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | 命中 |
| 2026-08-03 | 金州女武神 (Golden State Valkyries) 96:79 多倫多節奏 (Toronto Tempo) WNBA | Under 162.5 | 未中 |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 5:0 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 5.5 | 命中 |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado Rockies 8:1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 9.5 | 命中 |