截至 ,未來 48 小時內有 213 場賽事在 Polymarket 或 Kalshi 上有公開價格。下表依開賽時間(UTC+8)列出各方機率、價格來源與高手持倉數。
| 開賽 | 賽事 | 機率(主 · 和 · 客) | 來源 | 高手持倉 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles – Chiba Lotte Marines NPB | 36% · — · 68% | Polymarket | 1 | |
| Saitama Seibu Lions – Orix Buffaloes NPB | 86% · — · 24% | Polymarket | 4 | |
| Yomiuri Giants – Hiroshima Carp NPB | 94% · — · 8% | Polymarket | 4 | |
| Paper Rex – G2 Esports Valorant | 39% · — · 62% | Polymarket | 58 | |
| Yangon Galacticos – Direborn Dota 2 | 27% · — · 73% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| Hanshin Tigers – Tokyo Yakult Swallows NPB | 77% · — · 36% | Polymarket | 1 | |
| Uwinks – Please Not Hero Ban Overwatch | 87% · — · 37% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Samsung Lions – Hanwha Eagles KBO | 97% · — · 15% | Polymarket | 11 | |
| Lotte Giants – Kiwoom Heroes KBO | 65% · — · 39% | Polymarket | 8 | |
| Doosan Bears – NC Dinos KBO | 95% · — · 92% | Polymarket | 7 | |
| Kia Tigers – KT Wiz KBO | 42% · — · 59% | Polymarket | 10 | |
| SSG Landers – LG Twins KBO | 88% · — · 18% | Polymarket | 3 | |
| 澳大利亞男子國家足球隊 – 巴西國家足球隊 Fifa Friendly | 5% · 11% · 88% | Polymarket | 777 | |
| Team Spirit – Team Nemesis Dota 2 | 88% · — · 15% | Polymarket | 6 | |
| PARIVISION – Level UP Dota 2 | 96% · — · 5% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Yokohama DeNA BayStars – Chunichi Dragons NPB | 56% · — · 44% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| 99DIVINE – MURASH GAMING Overwatch | 76% · — · 85% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| 葛摩國家足球隊 – Namibia AFCON Game Winner | 52% · 31% · 20% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| Wuxi Wugou – Ningbo Professional FC China League One | 53% · 29% · 20% | Polymarket | 66 | |
| Karmine Corp – NRG Valorant | 42% · — · 58% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| VARREL – Lazuli Overwatch | 94% · — · 6% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| 馬達加斯加國家足球隊 – 坦尚尼亞國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 41% · 34% · 26% | Kalshi | 2 | |
| 埃塞俄比亞國家足球隊 – 塞內加爾國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 8% · 20% · 75% | Kalshi | 7 | |
| 莫桑比克國家足球隊 – 蘇丹國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 51% · 32% · 19% | Kalshi | 2 | |
| 蒲隆地國家足球隊 – 阿爾及利亞國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 7% · 18% · 78% | Kalshi | 2 | |
| South-Sudan – 埃及國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 6% · 14% · 82% | Kalshi | 5 | |
| 萊索托國家足球隊 – 摩洛哥國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 2% · 5% · 95% | Kalshi | 2 | |
| 1WIN – Natus Vincere Dota 2 | 50% · — · 50% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming Dota 2 | 67% · — · 33% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Inter Bratislava – Podbrezova Slovakian Cup | 17% · 22% · 62% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| MAGAZA – Barça eSports League of Legends | 25% · — · 75% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Colossal Gaming – Su Esports League of Legends | 20% · — · 80% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Valerion – Skillcamp Esport League of Legends | 37% · — · 63% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| G2 Nord – The Ruddy Sack League of Legends | 80% · — · 20% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Salon Vilpas Vikings – Honka Espoo Finland Korisliiga | 87% · — · 13% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Uganda – Libya AFCON Game Winner | 49% · 31% · 20% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| Guinea Bissau – 奈及利亞男籃 AFCON Game Winner | 12% · 26% · 65% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| 迦納國家足球隊 – 甘比亞國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 66% · 23% · 12% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| Zambia – 多哥國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 50% · 30% · 23% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| 維德角國家足球隊 – 盧安達國家男子籃球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 69% · 23% · 10% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| Estral Esports – 9Z Globant League of Legends | 94% · — · 6% | Kalshi | 215 | |
| 摩爾多瓦國家足球隊 – 法羅群島足球代表隊 UEFA Nations League | 33% · 33% · 36% | Polymarket | 54 | |
| 芬蘭國家足球隊 – 白俄羅斯國家足球隊 UEFA Nations League | 61% · 25% · 15% | Polymarket | 141 | |
| 俄羅斯國家足球隊 – IR Iran Fifa Friendly | 56% · 26% · 20% | Polymarket | 79 | |
| BC Dubai – Barcelona Euroleague Basketball | 73% · — · 28% | Polymarket | 2 | |
| Aurora – GamerLegion Dota 2 | 77% · — · 23% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Team Liquid – Yakult Brothers Dota 2 | 84% · — · 17% | Polymarket | 1 | |
| KK Krka Novo Mesto – Zlatorog Lasko Slovenia 1. SKL | 93% · — · 7% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Falcons Esport – Geekay Esports Rainbow Six Siege | 51% · — · 49% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| BC Neptunas Klaipeda – 特倫託雕 EuroCup | 50% · — · 53% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Frites Esports Club – Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports League of Legends | 60% · — · 40% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Jsk Esports – Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition League of Legends | 31% · — · 69% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| PCIFIC – Nightbirds League of Legends | 45% · — · 55% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| BIG – Bomba Team League of Legends | 77% · — · 26% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Zalgiris Kaunas – Olympiacos B.C. Euroleague Basketball | 43% · — · 58% | Polymarket | 2 | |
| Anadolu Efes – Real Madrid Euroleague Basketball | 51% · — · 50% | Polymarket | 1 | |
| Twisted Minds – fnatic Rainbow Six Siege | 63% · — · 37% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Hapoel Jerusalem – Rostock Seawolves EuroCup | 89% · — · 12% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Tofas SK Bursa – Niners Chemnitz EuroCup | 77% · — · 25% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Team Phantasma – Lodis League of Legends | 39% · — · 60% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Hmble – Senshi Esports League of Legends | 76% · — · 26% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Bushido Wildcats – Ucam Esports Club League of Legends | 29% · — · 71% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| kaufland hangry knights – The Otter Side League of Legends | 82% · — · 18% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Bomba Team – Berlin International Gaming League of Legends | 22% · — · 78% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| 費內巴切體育俱樂部 – FC Bayern Munchen Euroleague Basketball | 78% · — · 23% | Polymarket | 3 | |
| Boreham Wood FC – 基德明斯特鷂鷹足球俱樂部 National League | 70% · 20% · 11% | Polymarket | 12 | |
| KK Crvena Zvezda – Hapoel Tel Aviv Euroleague Basketball | 58% · — · 43% | Polymarket | 1 | |
| Team Secret – G2 Esports Rainbow Six Siege | 21% · — · 79% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| 勒芒薩爾特籃球俱樂部 – 塞薩洛尼基 EuroCup | 30% · — · 71% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Atlanta Braves – Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 64% · — · 37% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Esuba – White Dragons League of Legends | 49% · — · 51% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Team Heretics Academy – Karmine Corp Blue League of Legends | 46% · — · 75% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Tln Pirates – Anubis Gaming League of Legends | 73% · — · 27% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Forsaken – The Secret Club Esport League of Legends | 76% · — · 24% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| 米蘭奧林匹亞 – Virtus Bologna Euroleague Basketball | 72% · — · 29% | Polymarket | 1 | |
| 瓦倫西亞籃球俱樂部 – Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz Euroleague Basketball | 77% · — · 23% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Reyer Venezia – Skyliners Frankfurt EuroCup | 83% · — · 20% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Hartlepool United FC – 哈羅蓋特鎮 National League | 27% · 25% · 50% | Polymarket | 21 | |
| Woking FC – 索利赫爾摩爾足球會 National League | 50% · 25% · 26% | Polymarket | 10 | |
| Yeovil Town FC – Worthing FC National League | 45% · 24% · 33% | Polymarket | 1 | |
| Forest Green Rovers FC – 石威德足球會 National League | 55% · 23% · 23% | Polymarket | 2 | |
| FC哈利法克斯鎮 – Boston United FC National League | 45% · 26% · 31% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| 法爾德 – Carlisle United FC National League | 41% · 24% · 37% | Polymarket | 6 | |
| 蓋茨黑德足球俱樂部 – 艾川查姆 National League | 22% · 23% · 58% | Polymarket | 15 | |
| Hornchurch FC – 艾迪索特鎮足球俱樂部 National League | 44% · 27% · 31% | Polymarket | 1 | |
| 保加利亞國家足球隊 – 愛沙尼亞國家足球隊 UEFA Nations League | 55% · 28% · 19% | Polymarket | 38 | |
| 斯洛伐克國家足球隊 – 哈薩克國家足球隊 UEFA Nations League | 77% · 17% · 7% | Polymarket | 74 | |
| 斯洛維尼亞國家足球隊 – 馬其頓國家足球隊 UEFA Nations League | 60% · 27% · 15% | Polymarket | 55 | |
| 聖馬利諾國家足球隊 – 阿爾巴尼亞國家足球隊 UEFA Nations League | 1% · 5% · 95% | Polymarket | 72 | |
| 盧森堡國家足球隊 – 冰島國家足球隊 UEFA Nations League | 28% · 30% · 44% | Polymarket | 30 | |
| 西班牙國家足球隊 – 克羅埃西亞國家足球隊 UEFA Nations League | 82% · 13% · 7% | Polymarket | 167 | |
| 捷克國家足球隊 – 英格蘭足球代表隊 UEFA Nations League | 9% · 17% · 75% | Polymarket | 167 | |
| 蘇格蘭足球代表隊 – 瑞士國家足球隊 UEFA Nations League | 21% · 28% · 52% | Polymarket | 115 | |
| 巴黎籃球俱樂部 – Partizan Euroleague Basketball | 59% · — · 42% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| 巴羅足球俱樂部 – 斯坎索普聯足球俱樂部 National League | 46% · 26% · 30% | Polymarket | 5 | |
| 賴比瑞亞國家足球隊 – Mali AFCON Game Winner | 12% · 25% · 65% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Congo Republic – 喀麥隆籃球國家隊 AFCON Game Winner | 14% · 25% · 61% | Kalshi | 7 | |
| 貝南國家足球隊 – 茅利塔尼亞國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 38% · 37% · 28% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| Somalia – 象牙海岸國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 2% · 6% · 93% | Kalshi | 2 | |
| Gabon – 尼日國家足球隊 AFCON Game Winner | 57% · 27% · 15% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| British Virgin Islands – Turks and Caicos Islands CONCACAF Nations League | 38% · 26% · 70% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Virtus.pro – Rebels Gaming Rainbow Six Siege | 85% · — · 15% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| US Virgin Islands – 巴哈馬國家男子籃球隊 CONCACAF Nations League | 82% · 52% · 69% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| 博亞卡捷高足球會 – 聯盟足球會 Categoría Primera A | 58% · 39% · 46% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Shifters – Heretics Rainbow Six Siege | 76% · — · 25% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Pereira – Independ. Santa Fe Categoría Primera A | 21% · 29% · 51% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| French Guiana – Sint Maarten CONCACAF Nations League | 50% · 23% · 26% | Kalshi | 7 | |
| Houston Astros – Chicago White Sox MLB | 54% · — · 47% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| Botafogo FC – 龐特普雷塔 Brasileirão Série B | 76% · 17% · 8% | Polymarket | 63 | |
| 印第安納狂熱 – 拉斯維加斯王牌 WNBA | 53% · — · 48% | Polymarket | 10 | |
| Anguilla – 阿魯巴國家足球隊 CONCACAF Nations League | 77% · 47% · 84% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| Union Magdalena – Real Cartagena FC Categoría Primera B | 42% · 30% · 30% | Polymarket | 4 | |
| 韓國國家足球隊 – 中華臺北男子籃球代表隊 League of Legends | 93% · — · 7% | Kalshi | 2 | |
| 印度國家足球隊 – 香港足球代表隊 League of Legends | 5% · — · 95% | Kalshi | 0 | |
| USA – Chile Fifa Friendly | 71% · 19% · 12% | Kalshi | 1 | |
| New York Yankees – Boston Red Sox MLB | 56% · — · 45% | Polymarket | 0 | |
| 美國國家足球隊 – Chile Fifa Friendly | 70% · 20% · 12% | Polymarket | 84 | |
| 紐約自由人 – 明尼蘇達山貓 WNBA | 41% · — · 60% | Polymarket | 5 | |
| 墨西哥國家足球隊 – 秘魯國家足球隊 Fifa Friendly | 69% · 21% · 12% | Polymarket | 125 | |
| Ind. Medellin – 百萬富翁足球俱樂部 Categoría Primera A | 41% · 29% · 30% | Kalshi | 0 |
機率為平台顯示價(Polymarket 賣一價、Kalshi 最近成交價),各方分別報價、不做歸一,合計可能略高於 100%。
近 7 天( 至 )有開賽前價格的 1003 場已完賽賽事中,開賽前機率最高的一方贏了 549 場,命中率 54.7%。近 30 天共 5580 場,命中率 53.7%。
| 熱門方開賽前機率 (30d) | 場次 | 熱門方勝出 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|
| <50% | 2153 | 925 | 43.0% |
| 50-60% | 1413 | 765 | 54.1% |
| 60-75% | 1232 | 766 | 62.2% |
| 75+% | 782 | 543 | 69.4% |
| 項目 (7d) | 場次 | 熱門方勝出 | 命中率 |
|---|---|---|---|
| soccer | 472 | 267 | 56.6% |
| esports | 242 | 92 | 38.0% |
| basketball | 194 | 133 | 68.6% |
| baseball | 77 | 47 | 61.0% |
| football | 18 | 10 | 55.6% |
統計方式:取開賽前 24 小時內最後一筆價格,機率最高的一方為熱門方;足球只統計含和局價的三向市場。
資料更新於